Singles 🔗

While most of this book is threads, this opening chapter contains a curated selection of stand-alone tweets that were either exceptionally popular (as measured by likes and retweets), personal favorites, or both. There are 396 tweets included, out of over 150k, or approximately 0.26%. I have also included my 10 earliest tweets, from 2007, even though there is nothing notable about them, to convey a sense of the early calm before the later storms. Of these 396, I have also highlighted 38 — 0.026% — as particularly noteworthy. In most cases, these are not just notable tweets, but ones with stories of some sort attached, like interesting conversations ensuing, or the tweet marking an evolution in my philosophy. I also classified and tagged these 396 tweets by category, primarily to try and fingerprint my overall evolving vibe over the years. You can see summary statistics at the end of this chapter.

In many ways, for tweet-sized thinking and writing, singles are to threads what short stories are to novels in long form. Many of my favorite writers, such as J. G. Ballard and Jorge Luis Borges, were not only at their best with short stories, but revealed their thought processes the most with shorter forms. Many twitter users I appreciated were masters of the one-off single. I am not sure where I land, but I suspect browsing my most noteworthy single tweets is the best way to get a sense of the gestalt of this book.

While I’m proud of many of my threads, my most memorable tweets, which I can quote from memory, were singles, and I think I’ve captured most of them in this chapter. If you weren’t following me live during my active twitter years, browsing this chapter is probably the best way to get a highlights-reel sense of my thinking through those years. Even more than my long-form blogs, twitter was where I workshopped my thinking.

2007

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Aug 29, 2007
Pushing my cat away. When you give him wet food he wants dry, when you give him dry food he wants wet.
prehistory
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Aug 29, 2007
Hmm... just finished thorough read of Dan Pink's Free Agent Nation. Mull mull. Seinfeld on. Watch or mull more?
prehistory
🔗
Aug 29, 2007
Darn, this twitter thing is neat. Only question is, do I want to pay for texting?
prehistory
🔗
Aug 29, 2007
"The compensation for an early success is the conviction that life is a romantic affair" -- F. Scott Fitzgerald. Hmm.
prehistory
🔗
Aug 29, 2007
Woohoo can twitter inside firewall now via cellphone
prehistory
🔗
Aug 29, 2007
Milk marked Sept 20 expiry spoiled already. Back to soymilk vegan coffee after dairy break. Cat has been on keyboard again. Damn hairs.
prehistory
🔗
Aug 29, 2007
Favorite coffeeshop "Earthtones" closed due to movie filming :( Hadta go to second favorite, "Mona Lisa cafe"
prehistory
🔗
Aug 29, 2007
Reading against the gods at starbucks
prehistory
🔗
Aug 30, 2007
carpe diem, carpe mouse, carpal tunnel. ouch.
prehistory
🔗
Aug 30, 2007
Caprese lunch
prehistory

2014

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Jul 10, 2014
The future is already here, it's just unequally distributed. 1% of the population lives in 99% of the future. #OccupyFuture
joke
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Jul 14, 2014
Reality is that which, when you run out of money, you can no longer ignore.
joke
🔗
Dec 17, 2014
Expecting to be treated "fairly" by a friend is reasonable. By a stranger: idealism. By an enemy: ideology. By nature: insanity.
aphorism

2015

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Feb 28, 2015
Any sufficiently advanced kind of work is indistinguishable from play
aphorism
🔗
May 12, 2015
I made up a new, data-driven insult for people who generalize too much on the basis of just their own experiences: "Go away, n=1."
joke
🔗
May 20, 2015
Selfie sticks are an awful technology. Use a proper drone instead.
joke
🔗
Aug 12, 2015
Well, looks like software is about to eat the first serious female presidential campaign.
take
🔗
Aug 18, 2015
Half of advanced communication skills is learning sophisticated ways to tell people they're wrong while letting them save face gracefully.
advice
🔗
Aug 19, 2015
Anything is possible if you're willing to not take all of humanity along for the ride.
reflection
🔗
Sep 5, 2015
Past 30, if you don't break script every 3-5y, life becomes 99.9% maintenance, 0.1% growth. Some actually think this is the goal state. 😱
reflection
🔗
Oct 5, 2015
We need 3 planets for an agile, continuously integrated civilization: dev-earth, test-earth, production-earth.
joke
🔗
Nov 1, 2015
I have decided my life's work is fighting against the growing evil of tribalism. You're either with me or against me in this righteous cause
joke
🔗
Nov 5, 2015
Ironically, it is easiest to do business on a handshake in places where contracts are enforceable and routine
reflection
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Nov 28, 2015
Dumb idea: "When the student is ready, the teacher appears." And lesson is too late. Jump in before you're ready. Don't wait for a teacher.
advice

2016

🔗
Jan 9, 2016
These days, "must-read" books feel like the Windows updates of life.
take joke
🔗
Jan 23, 2016
I was promised an FTL time-space ship with force fields and artificial gravity and all I'm getting is recycled rockets
joke
🔗
Jan 29, 2016
Paradox: almost nobody likes modernists (I define as 'people who like today better than yesterday by default'), but they win 99% of time
aphorism reflection
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Mar 9, 2016
First they ignore you, then they ignore you, then they ignore you, then they ignore you, then you die.
joke
🔗
Mar 17, 2016
Talent hits the target others can't hit. Genius hits the target others can't see. Insanity hits the target that doesn't even exist.
joke
🔗
Jun 1, 2016
The end-state of being eaten by industrialization is commoditization. The end-state of being eaten by software is artisanization.
reflection
🔗
Jun 21, 2016
Fun fact: we've learned to reuse rockets instead of dumping them in the ocean before we've learned that trick for plastic water bottles.
reflection
🔗
Jul 17, 2016
Moral hazard is when something feels like a video game to you, but is life and death to people affected by your decisions
reflection
🔗
Aug 2, 2016
Dumb people become potential problems when they have nothing to lose. Smart people become potential problems when they have nothing to gain.
reflection

2017

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May 8, 2017
Knowledge depreciation and unexpected life turns make us all autodidacts by 30. So might as well get good at it when young.
reflection
🔗
Jun 27, 2017
Freedom is arguably freedom to go deep: into rabbitholes, relationships, missions, w/o regard to cost, reward, time, productivity, risk
reflection
🔗
Jul 1, 2017
Analogue to fuck-you money is fuck-you competence. Aspiring to jack-of-all-trades-master-of-all because you don't like dependence on others
reflection
🔗
Aug 2, 2017
It still boggles my mind that all life except for one species gets along fine without money. Where did we go wrong? 🤔What do they know?
reflection
🔗
Aug 14, 2017
Great minds discuss ideas; mediocre minds discuss events; small minds discuss people.

Premium mediocre minds discuss bitcoin
joke
🔗
Aug 16, 2017
I just want to live a simple, free life, among reasonable, diverse people, aboard a starship armed with photon torpedoes. Too much to ask?
joke
🔗
Aug 19, 2017
What is most depressing about 2017 is we don't know if it's year 1 of an 8 year aberration, an 80 year macro trend or an 800 year dark age 😳
reflection
🔗
Aug 19, 2017
Even a shallow understanding to blockchains makes you see them everywhere. Makes you realize how much of civilization is just book-keeping.
reflection
🔗
Aug 29, 2017
Advice to the young: never buy a couch. That's when it all starts to go south on you, when you first buy a couch.
advice joke
🔗
Sep 13, 2017
"Artificial Intelligence" is a "horseless-carriage" grade anachronism. I hereby declare AI now = "Alienized Infrastructure". You're welcome.
joke
🔗
Sep 21, 2017
The most common kind of execution failure is one we rarely talk about: quite simply hating the work too much to do it even passably well.
reflection
🔗
Sep 29, 2017
Those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it. Those who study history are doomed to repeat it with elaborate justifications.
joke
🔗
Oct 1, 2017
4 game theory games everybody should know about: prisoner's dilemma, ultimatum, dictator, public goods. Basic literacy on impersonal trust.
aphorism advice
🔗
Oct 14, 2017
Most disagreements with people are about dislike of personality traits. If you like someone, you'll mostly deal with their beliefs.
aphorism reflection
🔗
Nov 4, 2017
I don't trust anyone who can't amuse themselves indefinitely with their own thoughts. They invariably cause trouble outside their heads.
reflection
🔗
Nov 11, 2017
Theory

If a military conflict lasts longer than 3 yrs, economic strength determines outcome.

If an economic conflict lasts longer than 30 yrs, ideological superiority determines outcome.

If an ideological conflict lasts >300 yrs, technological generativity determines outcome
aphorism
🔗
Nov 16, 2017
The closer you get to leisure class the more ambitions barbellize: trivial, like seeking out the best chips, or save-the-world. Nothing in between.

Does not bode well for postscarcity utopian dreams. They will be unstable.
reflection
🔗
Nov 19, 2017
A tribe is a mechanism for socializing guilt. This is why guilt by association is a surprisingly effective tactic for undermining them. The price for the benefits of tribal membership is accepting complicity in its historic burden of sins.
reflection
🔗
Nov 22, 2017
Sometimes I get distressing glimpses of how old age is going to suck.

Your future is already here. It's just unevenly distributed across your body.
reflection
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Nov 23, 2017
Many powerful people think they have a good balance between an inner circle that provides access, information and intellectual support, and a bouncer circle that blocks threats, people and noise.

Many actually only have a pure bouncer circle and don't realize it.
reflection
🔗
Nov 25, 2017
History is going through a major cache invalidation period
joke take
🔗
Dec 10, 2017
I saw the premium mediocre minds of my generation vanish into darkness,
past the event horizons of their own consensual hallucinations,
falling through the twitter feeds towards light, looking for an exit
joke
🔗
Dec 16, 2017
Fuck-you money is 3 things: a part is just reward for your efforts, a part is hush money from The System, and the rest is the universe just paying you to go away because you're annoying.

Reflect on the proportions in your case, ye rich
reflection
🔗
Dec 16, 2017
Most serious and consequential debates are decided by one side running out of stamina and the other winning by default.

When something actually matters to you, staying in the debate is more important than winning or losing particular points.
reflection
🔗
Dec 16, 2017
Conservativism has to reproduce at higher than replacement rate to persist because it constantly loses people to progressivism, net.

Progressivism is sustainable at lower-than-replacement-rate fertility because it generally gains converts, net.

Memes eat genes
reflection
🔗
Dec 20, 2017
Many good things in my life have been due to being too lazy to make active decisions and letting defaults ride.

The better part of strategy is knowing when to do nothing. 9/10 times, the strategic and lazy choices are the same.

Get the 1/10 right though.
advice
🔗
Dec 23, 2017
It takes many kinds of lives to make a world

Most lives aren’t simple, whether successful or not

But the lessons of simple lives, successful or not, spread more easily

So people end up believing all lives are simple

And so end up surprised by the complexities of their own
reflection
🔗
Dec 23, 2017
The more I learn about pigs, the more I feel bad about using ‘pig’ as a human insult

There are really no good animal comparisons for the worst things humans do. Except maybe a few of the things really smart ones like chimps and dolphins do.
reflection
🔗
Dec 25, 2017
I feel bad about reading Wikipedia summaries of vast histories, quick glosses of big fat books, plot summaries of novels, etc. But increasingly I find it’s the only way to get anything done. Full read=luxury

I’d pay for a custom summaries service with my priorities in mind
reflection
🔗
Dec 26, 2017
I think a century or so from now, people will view national citizenship and its mobility constraints the way we view serfdom today 🤔
reflection
🔗
Dec 29, 2017
MyTurnism: If your political ideology is 100% driven by fighting oppression and exploitation when not in power, your governance will be 100% driven by extraction and profiteering when in power.

Purely palliative political ideologies inevitably turn corrupt at the first chance
reflection

2018

🔗
Jan 11, 2018
Well, it’s official, crypto is going to be the next big tech

China has tried to ban it

Uber drivers are offering tips about it

Buffett has decided to sit it out
take
🔗
Jan 14, 2018
My evil editor changed absolutely everything in my Ship of Theseus essay but fortunately the basic idea was preserved
joke
🔗
Jan 15, 2018
A robust truth is one that is strengthened by every bit of added context

If adding context weakens your assertion steadily until it dissolves into noise, you basically lied
advice reflection
🔗
Jan 16, 2018
A middle-class trait I can’t shake off is slight guilt about playing with no-practical-value ideas during “work hours”, like reading a philosophy book 9-5 on a weekday.

Feels like playing hooky. One reason I blog is to manufacture practical justification. “It’s for a post”
reflection
🔗
Jan 18, 2018
It seems serious luxury car nuts have the same neural activity in response to cars as the rest of us do when identifying human faces.

Explains so much about any kind of unique/luxury consumption. They are substitutes for human connection.

One of my big mysteries, solved.
take
🔗
Jan 21, 2018
I read far fewer books these days, but the ones I do read usually end up being magic bullets, precisely curing a particular mental block.

10 years ago, books were more like broad-spectrum antibiotics.

20 years ago, they were more like food.

30 years ago, they were placebos.
reflection
🔗
Jan 22, 2018
Perhaps the best measure of leaders is how their reports interact with each other and outsiders when they are not in the room.

Every leader is a ghost in a machine they build (often for long after they die). How you haunt it matters more than how you operate it directly.
reflection
🔗
Jan 24, 2018
An ounce of physiological insight generally eliminates about a pound of psychological BS

“I have anxiety and depression from work stress; it must be this bad quarter and that delayed project”

*drinks some water*

“Wait scratch that, I was just dehydrated”
advice joke reflection
🔗
Jan 27, 2018
Stages to doing good work

1. Laugh at bullshit

2. Get mad at bullshit

3. Try to get even by joining the bullshit factory yourself

4. Realize in the long term it’s actually harder

5. Start to do good work because it’s actually the laziest way out of the maze
reflection advice
🔗
Jan 27, 2018
The opposite of bullshittiness is not authenticity or sincerity but impatience.

You can always be fooled by levels of bullshitting that are more sophisticated than you have encountered before, but your own “life is too short for this” reaction will point to the way out.
reflection
🔗
Feb 4, 2018
A city-state world where people are born stateless, live with family till 14, & can go walkabout wherever they like 14-18 at which point they auction themselves off to cities based on # of existing citizens who want them there.

Like NFL draft but for cities and everybody. 🤔
reflection
🔗
Feb 7, 2018
An interstellar spacefaring civilization would most likely be socialist inside the spaceships, libertarian-monarchic on space stations, anarchic between ships/stations, liberal democratic within inner solar systems (say 1-2 lighthour sphere)
reflection
🔗
Feb 8, 2018
Capitalism is based on owning something absolutely in a timebox, regardless of history/future.

I suspect postcapitalism will unbundle the idea of 'asset' in time. You'll own a thread of its history rather than a timebox cut of its existence.

*cough* blockchain *cough*
reflection
🔗
Feb 8, 2018
What would happen if parents only gave children temporary code names and you had to choose your own name at 18?

It is really weird that we don't name ourselves, if you think about it.
joke reflection
🔗
Feb 12, 2018
You probably have a base year for orienting your life even if you aren’t aware of it. Explanations/valuations for major life events trace back to it.

You likely also periodically rebase to a year other than your birth year.

I’ve rebased thrice: 1999, 2009, 2015
reflection
🔗
Feb 14, 2018
Success is depressing because it teaches so much less than we expect it to.

Failure is depressing because it dumps more learning potential on us than we can handle.

Blend in the right proportion and you'll beat depression. Non-depression indicates your optimal learning rate.
reflection advice
🔗
Feb 15, 2018
There's a dozen people I'd like to get to know better, hang out with, have deeper chats with, collaborate with over many years.

No 2 of them live in the same city. No 3 in the same country. No 4 on the same continent.

The Internet is like a piquant whiff of an impossible life.
reflection
🔗
Feb 16, 2018
You have to be kinda happy to market well. At the risk of sounding sappy, you need a certain lightness in your heart. Which is why shallowness can help you fake it (but not truly make it).

People who feel the world’s burdens resting heavily on their shoulders cannot market well.
reflection
🔗
Feb 17, 2018
Far left hatred for crypto seems entirely out of proportion to severity of stated concerns (bitcoin energy use, GPU scarcity).

I suspect this is because crypto is charismatic libertarian megafauna. Thin end of a wedge threatening to undermine all collectivist political action.
reflection take
🔗
Feb 20, 2018
Social media platforms basically gerrymander attention.

Gerrymandering flips democracies around so politicians choose their voters rather than the other way around.

Gerrymandering attention allows publishers to choose their audiences rather than the other way around.
take
🔗
Mar 3, 2018
I just googled “flat earth jet lag” to see what flat earthers have to say about it.

How come there is no term like “shitsearching” to pair with shitposting?
reflection joke
🔗
Mar 3, 2018
Thought of a phrase: alt confidence. The generally higher sense of self certainty that comes with adopting fringe views.

I think it’s a selection effect. People who can’t tolerate high uncertainty centrifuge farther out to edge.
reflection take
🔗
Mar 3, 2018
Alexa just told me “today you can expect dreary weather”

Forget malicious AI. Start worrying about Marvin-type depressed AI. This kind of affective language is where it starts. She’s shutting the door to the possibility that I might enjoy what she calls ‘dreary’ (though I won’t)
take
🔗
Mar 5, 2018
It’s funny how we use twitter for multiplexed culture-warring and entertainment. It’s like if soldiers facing off in trenches alternately shot at each other and yelled knock-knock jokes at each other.

This cyberpunk future has some basic architectural problems.
reflection take
🔗
Mar 12, 2018
One reason I’m addicted to Twitter is that most of my curiosities are extremely shallow. I’m content with the first demystifying perspective on a question.

I don’t need the best, most correct, and deepest answer. Just a handle on the question with which to hold it correctly.
reflection
🔗
Mar 13, 2018
"We're a republic not a democracy" is the "tomatoes are fruits, not vegetables" of political discussions.
joke
🔗
Mar 16, 2018
Trivial: imagining linearly extrapolated futures (eg: "extreme capitalism")

Easy: imagining nonlinearly extrapolated (eg yin-yang cyclic) futures

Hard: imagining evolved futures with mutations

Really hard: imagining futures being invented by actions of imaginative people
reflection
🔗
Mar 16, 2018
GOMO: Gratitude of Missing Out

I have GOMO about not listening to podcasts and thereby managing to miss what appears to be about 30% of the zeitgeist conversation.
take joke
🔗
Mar 18, 2018
There is a theory most people dismiss because it sounds like sour grapes, but is mostly true.

Most rich people are rich in part because they wanted to get (or stay) rich more badly than others. This is a boring life goal. As a result, most rich people are boring.
reflection
🔗
Mar 18, 2018
The adventurer’s ethic is probably this: you have an obligation to become as interesting as your surplus resources permit
reflection
🔗
Mar 27, 2018
I’m beginning to think lack of capital is not really a factor stopping people from doing the things they feel they were meant to. Most people don’t have capital-intensive imaginations.

If you give most people a lump sum the best idea they’d likely come up with is buying a house.
take
🔗
Mar 27, 2018
Buying back your own time with money is like a stock buyback.

Unless you have a clear mission you’re freeing up time for, it’s an unimaginative retreat, not a deployment of resources.

Remaining shareholders (you/family) get minor boost in existing kind of value.
reflection
🔗
Mar 29, 2018
Thinking startups are what make nations innovative is the macroeconomic equivalent of thinking R&D labs are what make companies innovative.

Both are the same mistake. I call it the sequestration fallacy. Startups and R&D are the consequence, not cause of innovative cultures.
take
🔗
Apr 8, 2018
The American chopper meme is the opposite pole from harambe. Instead of perfectly distilled nihilism it’s like the Wikipedia of memes. Packed with sincere good information and vitamins.
take
🔗
Apr 8, 2018
Annoying how much of maintaining mental health boils down to recalling the right trite thought at the right time:

This too shall pass
Don’t decide when depressed
Drink water
Drink
Eat
Sleep
Take a walk
Go gymming
Let this one go
It’s only money
Morning is wiser than evening
reflection advice
🔗
Apr 14, 2018
War is negative-sum, not zero-sum.

Peace is zero-sum. It’s for vegetables.

We don’t have a true antonym for war. It is not peace, but some sort of coherent nonzero-sum flourishing. Like “tech boom”, “gold rush” or “space age”

Word proposals now being entertained
reflection
🔗
Apr 17, 2018
In terms of sheer fraction of life hours transformed from meh to pleasant, for the most people, TV is the greatest invention ever.

Real greatest good for the greatest number kinda deal.
take
🔗
Apr 21, 2018
People who grew up with Wikipedia seem far better informed than their intellectual/personality peers from older gens at same age.

Jevons paradox. They know more *because* they can look up anything. No curiosity left unsatisfied.

I’d estimate a 10y advantage in factual knowledge
take
🔗
Apr 21, 2018
Take a moment to appreciate the story of on-demand streaming TV.

One of those rare technologies that everyone fantasized about, that arrived pretty much on schedule as predicted, and turned out to be exactly as awesome as we all hoped.

Only unknowns were the brand names
take
🔗
Apr 21, 2018
Myers-Briggs is more useful than IQ. You can tell type by criticism it evokes. For eg:

ISTJ: “there is no statistical evidence for it”
INFJ: “Actually, I Ching and Enneagram are better”
INTP: “Socionics is more consistent”
ESTJ: “Only Big 5 is Ministry-approved”
ENTP: “BORING!”
take
🔗
Apr 22, 2018
There is something bizarre about “high-IQ” as an identity core like with Mensa. Like a trade union of capitalists or a commune of libertarians. Or that South Park joke about the anti-semitic sect of Judaism.

Shouldn’t you be winning Nobels, rather than performing identity?
take
🔗
Apr 25, 2018
We need a word for the vague sense of being continuously partially cheated/taken advantage of because online, automated services are impossible to reason with and escalating to humans with override capability is like dragon slaying and almost never worth the effort
reflection take
🔗
Apr 27, 2018
Offline we’re still in the fall of Rome. Online we’re already into Italian city states.

There’s an 800y cultural phase lag between online and offline.

Offline I’m some drunk jerk cheering and eating bread at the Circus Maximus.

Online I am hustling the city-state nobility
take
🔗
May 1, 2018
🤔: “Hmm, I’m thinking about <territory>”

🤡: “<map>, you’ve discovered <map>”
joke
🔗
May 4, 2018
My ahead-of-curve scorecard, measured in terms of how much earlier than mainstream I’d heard of various things

NRx: 3 years
Incels: 3 years
Crypto: 3 years
Twitter: 5 years
Turmeric in milk: 40 years

Things I was late to: fidget spinners, touchscreens, MP3s, avocados, stocks
reflection
🔗
May 7, 2018
Human condition pie chart

1%: making dents in universe, not going gentle into that good night

9%: tormented by existential despair on edge between meaning and nihilism

90%: mostly satisfied with life while there’s stuff to watch on Netflix/Prime/Hulu
joke reflection
🔗
May 8, 2018
A few years ago, my conversational rule of engagement was “joke around with until proven capable of holding up their end of a serious conversation”

Now it is “engage humorlessly until proven capable of being joked around with”
reflection
🔗
May 9, 2018
Before enlightenment: chop wood, carry water

After enlightenment: move back to the city, sign up for electricity and water, join a gym, and download a meditation app
joke
🔗
May 10, 2018
Heh I’m in minority on robot/AI self-disclosure. I’d like them to disclose they’re AIs if asked directly, but not be forced to volunteer the info.

I guess we’re in 3 laws of robotics territory. I for one, will defend the rights of R. Duplex Olivaw to drop the R.
take
🔗
May 19, 2018
Every time I go do some birdwatching I'm struck by how ridiculous it is that we think dinosaurs are extinct. They just self-disrupted and leveled up seriously as birds.
reflection
🔗
May 23, 2018
When you want to let someone finish what they're saying but you disagree with the whole premise of what they're saying, it feels like going into disagreement debt. I often declare bankruptcy and mentally exit before they finish talking. Body follows as soon as politely possible.
reflection
🔗
May 29, 2018
Small brain: use map to navigate territory
Regular brain: use territory to validate map
Planet brain: throw away maps, raw territory
Galaxy brain: use territory to navigate map
joke
🔗
May 30, 2018
I have the shortest version of my critique of GDPR

It is continent-scale virtue signaling
joke take
🔗
Jun 1, 2018
The point of a rule is often to consolidate power through exception-handling
aphorism reflection
🔗
Jun 4, 2018
Signaling values and signaling status are both good.

Signal values to make friends/enemies.

Signal status to set expectations reflecting real, dumb-to-ignore asymmetries.

It’s when you conflate them that things get bad. Don’t signal virtue to establish status or vice versa.
advice
🔗
Jun 5, 2018
One of the healthiest things you can do is simply decide to dislike certain people, individually, without guilt or rationalization. Simple dislike is benign. Tribal hatred is the cancerous result of trying theorize away failures of dumb universal love doctrines.
advice
🔗
Jun 7, 2018
Sufficiently advanced knowledge is indistinguishable from relationships
aphorism
🔗
Jun 8, 2018
I have overestimated people’s integrity about 2x more often than I have overestimated their intelligence 🤔

I guess lack of integrity has a weaker heat signature in things people say than lack of intelligence. Easier to pretend to be good than smart.
reflection
🔗
Jun 11, 2018
There is something very boring about American exceptionalism (and nationalist exceptionalism narratives in general). To truly buy into it, you kinda have to believe that the rest of the world is a boring backdrop full of NPCs and procedurally generated filler/world-history tropes
reflection
🔗
Jun 15, 2018
In every project, there are people it is important to _not_ talk to. Talking to them merely transforms them from unaware to adversarial, and puts a target on your back. They are often looking for things to obstruct, have ‘defender’ self-images, and are addicted to stopping things
advice
🔗
Jun 16, 2018
An undocumented benefit of public intellectualizing: the more smart things you’re perceived to have said, the more dumb questions you’re allowed to ask with no reputational damage (in fact you get a rep boost as in “wow, he’s smart but willing to look stupid”)
reflection
🔗
Jun 18, 2018
I’ve had this idea for a time travel story, “The Unwhatiffable Man”, for a while. Still working out the fake physics/modal logic, but basically the main character would be a multiverse constant. No matter which timeline he traveled to, his own life would be the same shitty one.
idea joke
🔗
Jun 19, 2018
The parallels between AI and the 1950s/60s organic chemistry revolution are quite astounding. Plastics, pharmaceuticals etc really were the first AI revolution. Just done by programming atoms rather than bits.
take
🔗
Jun 22, 2018
Hanlon’s twin blade razor: never attribute to malice or incompetence alone what can be attributed to the combination of the two
aphorism joke
🔗
Jun 24, 2018
You usually find out you’ve outgrown something before you figure out what you’ve grown into
aphorism
🔗
Jun 24, 2018
It’s not a good idea to teach at the edge of your own knowledge. You’ll likely mislead people who grok less, and look like an idiot belaboring the obvious to people who grok more. Either drop the didactic posture or target level n-3 so you can see 2 steps ahead of students.
advice
🔗
Jun 26, 2018
If you model classical liberal virtues, deal with events with stoic grace and honor, and conduct yourself with gentle forbearance (Greek classics handy) in these trying times, you won’t actually stop the developing shitshow, but you’ll look good posing in the rubble in your toga
joke
🔗
Jun 27, 2018
Interesting how sadness in the environment has to aestheticized to be made socially acceptable to experience (goth/emo culture, minor chords in music, wabi sabi, beautiful graveyards). We don’t like banal sadness like empty airport terminals late night with no services open
reflection
🔗
Jun 27, 2018
Most people suck at sales/marketing because they like to connect individually to others. If you’re selling something, even 1:1, it’s usually best to appeal to a group identity.

Tired: people only buy 2 things, happiness and solutions to problems

Wired: People only buy belonging
reflection
🔗
Jun 30, 2018
It is interesting how nature runs without money
reflection
🔗
Jul 1, 2018
If your ambition doesn’t grow with your wealth, the wealth makes you stupid by enabling you to delay decisions longer under uncertainty.

I’ve done most of my on-time risky trigger pulling when money was tight, delayed it too long when it wasn’t
reflection advice
🔗
Jul 2, 2018
“Spotting connections across disparate fields” as a default, signature intellectual style is:

— Charming/precocious sign of imagination in your 20s
— A workhorse “visionary” playbook in your 30s
— The mark of a dilettante has-been in your 40s
reflection
🔗
Jul 3, 2018
I get thie sense powerful criminals have a world-view of “all power is corrupt, and it’s just arbitrary which gang manages to label the rest criminals”. Ie a view that the world is run along de facto criminal lines at the top, and law-abiding conduct is for middle class suckers
reflection
🔗
Jul 4, 2018
Space opera premise: there is a god, but one who somehow got destroyed before finishing creating the universe. So we live in an incompletely built world that is missing obvious things that were meant to exist, like hyperspace travel and force fields.

Title: Cosmic Technical Debt
idea
🔗
Jul 6, 2018
The main use I have found for stoicism is putting up with stoics
joke
🔗
Jul 6, 2018
Chesterton’s Trashcan: To figure out what something is for, throw it away
joke aphorism advice
🔗
Jul 7, 2018
Small dogs are like legacy enterprise branches of ‘wolf’ that nature stopped supporting several versions ago, and must now be maintained in-house.
joke
🔗
Jul 11, 2018
Freaky thought: when you talk to someone on the other side of the planet they’re upside down relative to you

It’s ludicrous, I see the appeal of flat eartherism now..
reflection joke
🔗
Jul 14, 2018
Retirement planner product idea: a “where can I afford to retire?” widget that shows a color-coded world map

Red = in your dreams loser; try the lottery
Orange = if you work ridiculously hard and get a bit lucky
Yellow = reachable by 70
Green = Dump you could retire to right now
joke idea
🔗
Jul 16, 2018
| ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ |
|                   | Best            |
|         Meh   | Quadrant   |
|      ________|__________    |
|     Bad       |   Meh          |
|______|_______| 
             (\__/)    ||
             (•ㅅ•)   ||
            /     づ
joke ascii
🔗
Jul 16, 2018
| ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄|
|   We demand equal-       |
|    width fonts on Twitter |
|___________| 
             (\__/)    ||
             (•ㅅ•)   ||
            /     づ
joke ascii
🔗
Jul 18, 2018
A good things about modernity is that you don’t have annoying people going around starting sentences with “verily I say unto you...”

That must have been really tiresome. You just want to chill after a long day chopping wood and some dude wants to verily say things unto you
joke
🔗
Jul 19, 2018
A good nights sleep is worth like 50 IQ points for me. A successful midday nap is worth 20. Failed nap is minus 30.
advice aphorism
🔗
Jul 19, 2018
Optimization is a suboptimal primary mental model for decision making

Preference ordering should not be your first preference for analyzing preferences

There are more cons than pros to weighing pros and cons

My priors are that using priors to frame decisions is a lousy idea
joke reflection
🔗
Jul 29, 2018
If there’s a single duality that captures the essential difference between India and the US, it is inconvenience as virtue versus convenience as virtue.

To be Indian is to feel virtuous by navigating elaborately inconvenient practices for no good reason
reflection take
🔗
Jul 30, 2018
Much as I'm the epitome of the convenience-addicted expat, grousing about how nothing is easy in India, I do find that every visit recharges some illegible psyche battery. Reaffirms faith in humanity. If this billion-person goat rodeo can go on going on, there's hope for all.
take reflection
🔗
Jul 30, 2018
Damn I just managed to label an illegible new behavior I’ve noticed in myself in the last few years.

“Outsourcing cleverness”

Why bother being clever when it’s cheaper to provoke cleverness in others? Let others bank the insightcoins. I just want the actual insights.
reflection
🔗
Aug 3, 2018
Playing by the rules and having roughly the expected outcome is a recipe for being increasingly bewildered and angry at the world as you age.
reflection advice
🔗
Aug 7, 2018
There are four kinds of civilizations: real, utopian, dystopian, and Japan.
joke
🔗
Aug 8, 2018
I no longer say LMGTFY sarcastically or feel bad about asking googleable questions. In a noisy, make-your-own-reality world, there’s a real difference between asking a few known humans live versus querying stored global memories of questionable provenance.
reflection
🔗
Aug 11, 2018
A world that’s 100% electrified, with air/sea ships for long-distance travel, high-quality VR/telepresence, rent-over-own society, high mobility, hyperloops, rewilded/reforested countrysides, fake meat without factory farmed farting cows... as exciting a vision as colonizing Mars
reflection take
🔗
Aug 12, 2018
A normie is someone who realizes life is much longer than most fads and plans accordingly
aphorism
🔗
Aug 15, 2018
I have this theory that during periods of intense creative destruction, old institutions that survive at all turn into de facto banks, defined primarily by assets they manage to freeze and build moats around. Eg. Catholic church during reformation turned into a real estate bank
take reflection
🔗
Aug 24, 2018
You can’t solve with intelligence problems caused by lack of kindness

You can’t solve with kindness problems caused by lack of intelligence

A lot of political failure seems to be rooted in treating the two as substitutes for one another
aphorism advice reflection
🔗
Aug 27, 2018
A system can be more evil than the sum of the evil of its human parts. If you don’t account for emergent evil, you’ll end up with a useless morality where you can’t distinguish between people within human range of good/evil at all. It’s like adding a big constant to your y-axis.
reflection
🔗
Sep 1, 2018
Humanities people like to lecture STEM people, but damn their clumsy figurative embrace of sexier math/science ideas is like 10x more cringeworthy than the ineptitude typically displayed in the other direction.

Not talking everyday innumeracy. That’s understandable & forgivable.
reflection
🔗
Sep 1, 2018
The rat race is 10x stronger a reality distortion field than religion. The equivalent of god is ‘keeping up with the Joneses’. The equivalent of atheism is disbelieving in the existence of a meaningful comparison between any two people.
reflection
🔗
Sep 7, 2018
Big dramatic moves to break out of a rut basically never work. Your rut can make matching big dramatic moves to follow you. You kinda have to sneak out of the rut when it isn’t looking. Play hooky from rut life or something.
advice
🔗
Sep 7, 2018
I’m bored of people on the “this isn’t normal” derpbeat.

Normal is over. Go pro weird or go home.
take
🔗
Sep 10, 2018
Once I recommend a book to 3+ people, I buy it to read myself.

After I recommend 5 times I crack it open to familiarize myself with it enough to fake having read it

After 7, I feel guilty enough to actually read it, at which point there’s a 50-50 chance I’ll turn against it
joke
🔗
Sep 11, 2018
Anything artists and creative writers are 100% united against is 100% sure to happen
joke take
🔗
Sep 13, 2018
You know what I would like instead of a watch? An Apple Pen:

- Writes on tablet
- Scans text off paper books
- Records memos
- Directional microphone for spying
- Poison darts
- Cap unrolls into tiny e-notepad/screen
- Works as straw
- Space for mints
- Stabby point
joke
🔗
Sep 21, 2018
If the universe is computing its own future, all human thought is speculative execution and branch prediction 🤔

Do we contain spectre/meltdown type bugs? 🤔🤔
reflection
🔗
Sep 30, 2018
Rereading the Hamming You and Your Research essay, I'm struck by how simple his formula is.

Make your own luck, cultivate drive, make courageous decisions, work on important* questions, learn simple selling skills, avoid bullshit work.

* Important = "has a feasible attack"
advice
🔗
Oct 1, 2018
Talent hits the target others can’t hit

Genius hits the target others can’t see

Mediocrity sandbags today to live to fight another day

Premium mediocrity sandbags while pretending to aspire to talent and admire genius
joke
🔗
Oct 3, 2018
You manage for productivity with incentives (carrots and sticks)

You manage for excellence with esteem and room for self-actualization

You manage for mediocrity with steady evolutionary pressure via automation
reflection
🔗
Oct 4, 2018
You've heard of homesickness. There is also jobsickness for people who've been feral free agents too long. When homesickness hits you make/eat the comfort food you grew up with.

When jobsickness hits, you make slide decks destined for no meeting in particular 🤣
reflection
🔗
Oct 4, 2018
50% of ‘business skills’ is just knowing how to interrupt and be interrupted in business meetings.
reflection advice
🔗
Oct 5, 2018
A mediocre lifegoal is to grow net worth in proportion to your waning interest in understanding how the world works. The main value of $ is buying ignorance privilege. It’s the gentle version of seeking fuck-you money, for people without the acute trauma that drives FUM-seeking.
reflection
🔗
Oct 9, 2018
Sometimes it is easier to believe a more complicated theory because the less complicated theory requires more courage to believe.

So smarter people have to work harder to be courageous. A lot of crackpottery and consipracy theorizing is simply smart people lacking courage.
reflection take
🔗
Oct 12, 2018
Every workflow preference reflects a mild form of a mental illness. My wild guesses.

Agile: ADD (me, early 30s)
Waterfall: OCD
PMP: Sadism
Flow: psychopath
Kanban: Social anxiety
GTD/Lean: NPD (me 20s)
Fuguework: psychosis (me post 35)
Daily lists: BPD
None: Depression
take
🔗
Oct 13, 2018
Don’t answer questions beginning with “it depends”. It’s tedious and annoying.

Everybody know “it” always “depends”. If you have something useful to say, frame it as an if/then qualified answer. Like, “I can speak to 2 cases. If we’re talking X then...and if we’re talking Y...”
advice
🔗
Oct 19, 2018
Partisanship makes you stupid

Centrism makes you clueless

Retreat makes you depressed

Privileged exit makes you angry

Thoughtful and rigorous critical analysis makes you frustrated and incomprehensible

And you are expected to choose *wisely* among these options 🤣
joke
🔗
Oct 21, 2018
Problems expand to occupy the anxiety available
aphorism joke
🔗
Oct 21, 2018
The way the 1% run the economy and deploy political power leads me to conclude that they are all extreme climate believers who’ve concluded the apocalypse is nigh, cannot be averted, and it’s best to retreat to Helm’s Deep in New Zealand with 4 generations worth of durable assets
reflection take
🔗
Oct 29, 2018
Something I’ve become aware of only recently: effective people have a bonus-action mentality, where they opportunistically do extra things not in plans.

Sign of surplus energy, orientedness, and nerve.

Drives up average return rate since bonus actions tend to have high margin.
reflection
🔗
Nov 10, 2018
How to win:

10%: inflict a string of losses on enemy

90%: convince the enemy that the string of losses is the universe telling them they are losers

An adversary can inflict losses on you by exploiting a temporary advantage, but only turn you into a loser with your cooperation
advice
🔗
Nov 13, 2018
These seem solid
—-
Ask vs guess culture
Shame vs guilt culture
Honor vs dignity culture
High vs low context
Otters vs possums
Conflict vs mistake theory
Tight vs loose culture
Decoupler vs coupler
Combat vs nurture
Debate vs dialogue
Wait vs interrupt
reflection
🔗
Nov 15, 2018
Culture wars feel like nobody has enough of a clue about what’s going on to be a true Level Boss Villain. It’s mostly idiots scaring themselves in the dark while a bunch of grifters pick pockets of varying sizes and psychotic ideologues read epic false narratives into events
take
🔗
Nov 15, 2018
Going by manosphere tropes, I’m forced to conclude if Genghis Khan were around today, he’d be hawking vitamins, supplements, and an edutainment product with “Mastery” in the title. He’d also have a podcast and/or YouTube fitness video channel.
joke
🔗
Nov 16, 2018
"Decorum", "civility", and "rudeness" norms are just PC cultures that spare the sensitivities of the powerful.

Most institutions are safe spaces for the powerful, kept free of triggers and microaggressions for local top dogs.

This is the essential hypocrisy of anti-PCness.
reflection take
🔗
Nov 20, 2018
Excellence is really a sign of weakness: you don’t have the strength to endure the exhausting unproductivity of mediocrity for long. So you go off and try to do great, perfect things, and cause trouble for the rest of us.
reflection joke
🔗
Nov 21, 2018
You become capable of evil when you discover one other person whom you consider both weaker than you, and morally inferior to you. Someone you feel you can righteously hurt without feeling guilt.

Innocence ends the moment you think you’ve met someone you can judge and punish.
advice reflection
🔗
Nov 21, 2018
Easily the least compassionate people I’ve ever met are those who’ve broken out of bad circumstances by individual effort. The depth of their contempt and hatred towards those still stuck in prisons they’ve broken out of is astounding. Exit guilt or something.
reflection
🔗
Dec 7, 2018
Few things are more depressing than updating a CV. It's a case of seeing yourself like a state.
reflection joke
🔗
Dec 10, 2018
Pyramids are broader at the bottom. Punching down involves making choices in a target-rich environment. How you punch down always reveals more about you than who you choose to punch. Your insecurities are revealed.
reflection
🔗
Dec 11, 2018
Principle of plausible deniability: Don’t measure what you don’t want to manage.
aphorism
🔗
Dec 18, 2018
In general, when people consistently get mad at you, there are 3 possible explanations

1. You're a superior Straussian being upsetting lesser minds

2. You're a bold, taboo-shattering thinker

3. You're actually missing something important

Don't be too quick to diagnose
reflection advice
🔗
Dec 18, 2018
There's a sort of Dark Tetrad of topics: social identity, intelligence, religion, and genetics-and-culture. People who only ever talk about those 4 things... I tend to run from them. For mental health, those topics should not consume >20% of your intellectual bandwidth.
take reflection
🔗
Dec 23, 2018
You know how on a plane sometimes there’s a cool sight that you can *just* glimpse if you press face awkwardly against window, but you don’t get a good look because angle is wrong? And sometimes plane banks and you get lucky?

That’s what chasing down a good idea feels like.
advice

2019

🔗
Jan 1, 2019
When you're used to pursuing excellence, mediocrity feels like freedom
joke aphorism
🔗
Jan 6, 2019
The amount of mediocrity in the world can be measured by the extent of the failure to keep resolutions

Excellent people stick to resolutions. Crappy people never make them in the first place.

We mediocre people make them and then give up easily at the first sign of difficulty.
joke
🔗
Jan 10, 2019
Wealth is not zero-sum, but power is. If somebody says they want to empower, ignore what they’re offering to give you. Focus on what they’re offering to give up.
advice reflection
🔗
Jan 20, 2019
Viral outcomes no longer motivate me at any level from tweet to blog to book. A spike is a very dull kind of attention profile. I like other kinds better now. The steady burn, the cyclic endemic meme, the incepted word, the compounding secret language, the long-running gag....
reflection
🔗
Jan 23, 2019
There’s really only 4 ways to connect with someone of a culture/ideology you hate at an intellectual level (none guaranteed):

1. Develop a taste for their food
2. Develop a taste for their music/cultural output
3. Weather a mortal crisis with them
4. Sleep with them
reflection
🔗
Feb 12, 2019
Do you want to be part of the problem or part of the other problem?
joke
🔗
Feb 15, 2019
The annoying thing about computing is that every damn thing has to be live in an environment of scale. It's like if there were only 2 scales of cooking: cooking a meal for your family at home, and cooking for the entire planet. No intermediate scales of intermediate difficulty.
reflection
🔗
Feb 28, 2019
I've often had an idle thought of creating a "technology appreciation" course like art history. It's amazing how oblivious people are to the world they live in. Even when things like factory tours are open to the public, usually normies only want to go if it's a chocolate factory
reflection idea
🔗
Feb 28, 2019
A sufficiently mysterious bug is indistinguishable from magic
joke aphorism
🔗
Mar 2, 2019
Effective selling of intellectual output rests almost entirely on your ability to be sincerely impressed by your own thoughts.
reflection
🔗
Mar 14, 2019
The secret to a meaningful life: Your top interest should be useless, even to yourself, but not a mere hobby or below-marketable-quality amateur skill. Your life McGuffin. Anything “useful” is measured by its ends. The useless thing at the end of all is the measure of everything.
reflection advice
🔗
Apr 5, 2019
Resumes and job descriptions at their worst are both painstakingly crafted but highly ineffective clickbait designed to miscast not-even-wrong candidates into not-even-real-job roles, leading to a period of entropic loss in the economy.
take
🔗
Apr 7, 2019
Epistemic obesity: believing too many things relative to the quantity of reality encountered

Epistemic anorexia: believing too few things to sustain a life

Epistemic bullimia: Repeatedly believing too much, then rejecting it all in a fit of disillusionment till the next bunge
reflection
🔗
Apr 19, 2019
The belief that’s there can only be one stable “reality-based” consensus reality is our century’s “heavier than air flight is impossible.”
take reflection
🔗
Apr 21, 2019
Which word should we misuse and abuse next week?

I feel like roughing up “liminal” a bit.

Just ate a liminal cheese and potato puff.
joke
🔗
Apr 23, 2019
I’m genuinely impressed by people who find a limited but evergreen schtick that works, hit a lucrative cruising altitude with it, and then stick with it for decades. It’s like they’ve found their inner Vanna White. I’d like that. Seems kinda relaxing.
take
🔗
Apr 24, 2019
An ingroup only coheres properly once all members totally misunderstand why outgroupers dislike them, and form a consensus around a wildly wrong statement of the form “they hate us for our X”.

Such a statement is the unacknowledged Axiom 0 of every reality distortion field
take
🔗
Apr 27, 2019
We’re gonna see a new institutional underground of reimagined secret societies, lodges, fraternities, sororities etc. Not like medieval ones associated with universities, religions, or nobility. A cross between those and hacker collectives, hawala networks etc.
take
🔗
Apr 28, 2019
“Those who can, do those who can’t teach”

vs

“The best players rarely make the best coaches”

🤔
reflection
🔗
May 1, 2019
Your warnings and cautions to others often say more about your weaknesses and vulnerabilities than about elements in the threat environment others should be particularly wary of.
reflection
🔗
May 10, 2019
Poe’s 2nd Law: Every apparently contrarian view is a conformist view for some group on the Internet
aphorism
🔗
Jun 1, 2019
A “big” idea is one that:

- has megafauna charisma
- represents discontinuous leap wrt its history
- arrives as Big Bang in <5y, not trickle
- redraws boundaries among old ideas
- creates new institutional landscape in <10y
- creates new internal language within that landscape
take
🔗
Jun 9, 2019
As a macrotrend (not isolated), stock buybacks are the most principled way for elites to say “as a civilization, we’re collectively out of ideas and we’re doing this because our next best idea is a big orgy for senior execs on a private island, and that’s a bad look for 2019.”
take
🔗
Jul 2, 2019
I often google for the wikipedia entry on things even when I know other sources are better, because I've become very efficient at parsing wikipedia pages and extracting what I want to know. Anyone else do this? Is there a UX word for this? It's a kind of imprinting or something
advice reflection
🔗
Jul 9, 2019
In a post-scarcity society there will be no leisure because consumption will acquire all the oppressive characteristics of work. My wife does most of our our shopping and it definitely looks as demanding as a make-money job to me. Spending is information work in a complex society
take
🔗
Jul 13, 2019
A very compact way to explain mediocrity philosophy is this: non-attachment to finite games (5 words). Unfortunately those who can’t process the Carse reference will almost certainly misunderstand it.

Carse references are like dependencies on a major library.
reflection
🔗
Jul 14, 2019
Arbitrage opp: 2x engineers. By 80-20 rule, they will do 80% of what 10x engineers can do for typical projects and will be much more readily available. If you don’t need the last 20% esoteric skills like quantum blockchain, you’re good.

80-20: The OG mediocrity hack.
advice joke
🔗
Jul 16, 2019
If you enjoy Rick and Morty, you’re most likely a Jerry.

Think about it.
joke take
🔗
Jul 21, 2019
When you’re offered a seat on a non-rocketship with no engines that’s clearly going nowhere, you must ask as many questions as you can about the seat.
joke
🔗
Jul 24, 2019
Humanity’s last message broadcast to the stars will be “the actions of a few do not reflect our values as a species or who we are as a planet.”
joke
🔗
Jul 27, 2019
Next time I hear a phrase like “drawing on findings from psychology, neuroscience, and evolutionary biology...” I’m going to throw something something I swear.

Sick of glib, lumpenpseudosynthesis Big History by halo-hedgehogs for people rubbernecking at history through TED talks
take
🔗
Aug 23, 2019
If you decide the world’s problems are too big for you to worry about, and stop thinking about them, your own little problems will grow in your imagination until they’re as big as the ones you decided to ignore.

Anxiety finds its level.
reflection
🔗
Aug 24, 2019
When something is an economic asset but a psychological liability, like a house you hate but can’t afford to sell, it’s not the asset, you are. You don’t own it, it owns you. Middle class life is full of such antiassets.

Very unfortunate people also have antirelationships.
reflection
🔗
Aug 31, 2019
Learning from people disagreeing with you is overrated. Most of my learning from others actually comes from them thinking thoughts I wouldn’t be likely to think at all. And most tend to neither confirm or disconfirm anything I already think, but expand the scope of thoughts.
reflection
🔗
Sep 1, 2019
“It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit.” — Truman

This is true in a radical way. Not caring about credit = 10x to 100x leverage.

Oddly enough, not true of caring about who gets the $. You have to care about that, even if it isn’t you.
reflection advice
🔗
Sep 2, 2019
“You divide, I choose” remains the single most basic principle of voluntary social organization. It really should be an entire academic subdiscipline by itself, like prisoner’s dilemma
take
🔗
Sep 4, 2019
Medicine has a good term, “Idiopathic” to mean “we have no clue what’s going on, but we’re still the experts you should defer to”. It indicates an expert ignorance

All fields need a term like that.

How about we use “cryptodynamic” for matters of expert engineering ignorance?
advice joke
🔗
Sep 8, 2019
I get the sense the deeper you penetrate into elite circles, the harder it is to not become complicit in something ugly. To some extent elite cultures are almost defined by a kind of mutually assured destruction condition of collective complicity.
reflection
🔗
Sep 9, 2019
Astrology is nonsense, but what makes it particularly valuable is that it is *complete* nonsense in a way myers-briggs for eg is not. It is valuable for personality theorizing the way random number generators are good for algorithm design
reflection
🔗
Sep 14, 2019
💩 The best way to design a complex system is to start by designing its poop.

💩Poop is the most basic boundary condition for a dissipative system.

💩 When the simulators designed the cosmos, they started with large-scale poop structure

💩 No I do not need Freudian therapy
reflection
🔗
Sep 17, 2019
It is really odd that we often forget we don’t actually *know* anything about the future. That’s kinda what makes it the future. The future is that which we know nothing about.

Everything we think we know is necessarily some distorted refraction/reflection of the past
reflection
🔗
Sep 20, 2019
New #lifegoal — have a unit named after me, like ampere, richter etc

1 rao should ideally measure something sociophysical, like the entropy increase caused by 1 standard shit post
joke
🔗
Sep 27, 2019
Goodhart’s Law: When a measure becomes a metric, it ceases to be a good measure

Badhart’s Corollary: But damn it makes for good myth and ceremony
joke
🔗
Oct 5, 2019
Today, I explained to a not-Very-Online person why I take social media personas very seriously, and believe them over irl personas as truer expressions of self: social media personas are a kind of mask trance (in Johnstone/Impro sense).

Specifically, true-name mask trances
reflection
🔗
Oct 5, 2019
If you’re not building your own extended universe what are you even doing
reflection
🔗
Oct 9, 2019
Never work 100% within an ideology. Once you do something *successful* that partially defines a party line, the party line will totally define you, and people will approach you with a “derp or beef” filter.

Success insurance: Always color at least a little outside of all lines.
advice
🔗
Oct 22, 2019
Comedy = tragedy + time

Comedy - tragedy = time

No negative durations so time > 0

comedy - tragedy > 0

comedy > tragedy

QED
joke
🔗
Oct 24, 2019
The giant sucking sound of imagination draining from Silicon Valley 😐

There’s a dreary shift towards stagey tech-for-tech’s-sake charismatic stunts I don’t like. Like late-style artists making tediously overwrought self-indulgent works.
take
🔗
Oct 24, 2019
When I meet true nerds I realize I’m not one
reflection
🔗
Oct 25, 2019
I saw a guy living

Not reading must-reads
Not listening to must-listens
Not watching must-watches
Not knowing must-knows
Not suffering atemporality

Just living in his own timeline, like a psychopath
joke
🔗
Oct 31, 2019
The idea of fixing social media through regulation feels a bit like fighting forest fires with earthquakes
joke
🔗
Nov 1, 2019
That feeling that all your peers have figured out something important you haven’t and moved on in some way, leaving you behind? It’s universal.

It’s the human galactic red shift. Everybody has figured out something unique and is receding from everybody else.

Happy Halloween 💀
joke reflection
🔗
Nov 1, 2019
Get 8 hours of sleep a day, drink 8 glasses of water, eat healthy and exercise, and be slightly mean to everybody

That’s the formula, the only question is what it computes
joke
🔗
Nov 3, 2019
The more you learn about how the human-built world works the more it seems like a miracle it works at all. The civilizational stack is a late-game Jenga tower held together by Narrativium.
reflection
🔗
Nov 4, 2019
things get monetizable just when they get uninteresting
aphorism
🔗
Nov 15, 2019
I just realized I genuinely like playing to caricatures of me that people might hold. Discover the cartoon view people have of you and own it to absurdity. Usually there is some truth to it that people are picking up on, but don’t fully realize the implications actions of.
reflection
🔗
Nov 29, 2019
True or false? The most popular science fiction tends to envision a high-agency future for the professional class, irrespective of whether it us otherwise utopian or dystopian. They’re middle class professionals.

The most popular fantasy otoh seems to focus on high or low born.
reflection
🔗
Dec 5, 2019
“Moved to bcc” is the finest modern innovation in manners
take
🔗
Dec 6, 2019
I have discovered the ultimate antiaphorism: “this is incorrect.”

If someone offers a glib aphorism as an argument, defense, definition, or insight, you can use “this is incorrect” to okboomerize it. Don’t offer a reason. It only works as a fiat rejection if left unjustified.
advice
🔗
Dec 7, 2019
Lately I've been hanging out with a lot of respectable academics and realizing just how sketchy I've allowed myself to become 😝

No wonder at 45 my parents still treat me worriedly like a 25-year-old derailee who needs to get back on track.

Derailee is a good word.
reflection
🔗
Dec 16, 2019
LA is a terrestrial total perspective vortex, it makes sure you understand how tiny and insignificant you are in the human story, and how little of it you will ever experience in a single lifetime. Walk a few blocks, and you'll notice a dozen portals to worlds you'll never enter
reflection
🔗
Dec 24, 2019
Seated meditation: sit cross legged, head bowed, eyes half-closed, palms facing up on lap , fingers interlaced lightly (swipeya mudra), phone cradled lightly in fingers, open to twitter. Breathe gently, scrolling with left thumb, in a rosary counting motion. Like alternate twetes
joke
🔗
Dec 24, 2019
The biggest idea I learned this year was probably the power of indices and indexing

Approaching an ideaspace from an index view is attacking a monster via its underbelly
reflection
🔗
Dec 31, 2019
Ok Mandalorian is good, 3 episodes in. Better than all the movies. It’s like cyberpunk Ironman in space from planet of iron men.

It’s the art of gig, in space.
take

2020

🔗
Jan 6, 2020
Most papers are meh

Academic research is about producing meh to dampen the enthusiasm of bloggers for insight porn

The result of most research is “it is complicated and depends on various factors in unhelpfully nuanced ways”

ie, meh.
reflection
🔗
Mar 7, 2020
I’m increasingly starting to believe this thing has been spreading globally for at least several weeks longer than we think. All the containment was closing stable doors after the horse had bolted. The apparent pandemic is a delayed detection pandemic as testing spreads.
unclassified
🔗
Mar 10, 2020
If we can’t make cruise ships work there is no hope for space ships
take
🔗
Mar 28, 2020
The future is already here, it is just unevenly locked down
joke
🔗
Apr 1, 2020
“Life is a tragedy for those who feel, a comedy for those who think”

Sometimes growth happens when thinkers are forced by circumstances to feel, and feelers are forced by circumstances to think. For a while, there is neither tragedy, nor comedy. Only transformation.
reflection
🔗
Apr 11, 2020
Anthropocene calendar of seasons

January: Wildfires
February: Locusts
March: Pandemic
April: Volcano

Can’t wait for the rest.
joke
🔗
Apr 12, 2020
Growing sense of genuine evil in the air. Not things that could be interpreted as evil, or have effects that some might judge unconscionable. Genuine evil as in deeply malicious intentions directed against large groups and pursuing plans that aim to harm them as primary effect.
reflection
🔗
Apr 17, 2020
Money as compensation for work is an absurd mental model to have right now. Go brrr is changing the fundamental meaning of money. I don’t know what it means anymore.
reflection
🔗
Apr 18, 2020
One unpopular opinion I hold relative to people with similar politics to mine: I could never stand The West Wing. Awful, pretentious, self-congratulatory show, of/by/for “elites” in the demonized sense used today.
take
🔗
Apr 25, 2020
I'm going to throw something at the next person who uses the phrase "now more than ever"
take
🔗
May 6, 2020
Ok people I’m sick of boring views of your damn sourdough experiments, cute parenting moments etc. Do something larger than domestic scale in ambition even if you have to do it at home. Like a video of you soldering together a small Death Star. Or at least an iron man suit.
take
🔗
May 6, 2020
You know what would be worse. A weird anticorona virus that forced us to always be in tight huddles always with 6 people less than 6 feet away. In crowds of minimum 50. Except to go to the bathroom. Social closening. That sounds horrifying.
reflection
🔗
May 9, 2020
90% of “success” seems to be just surviving long enough above a threshold of “terminally embarrassing”

The other 10% is judicious editing of the story ex-post
reflection
🔗
May 10, 2020
That awkward mid-game of collapse where it’s too late for clever stock market trades but too early to start forming your mad max tribe
take
🔗
May 11, 2020
Cynicism: never being wrong by never being interesting
aphorism
🔗
May 16, 2020
Being a mirror is so much more interesting than being either a subject or an object
reflection
🔗
May 22, 2020
Social darwinism is a terrible thing, but activity darwinism around projects is a beautiful thing. So many things improve if you're willing to be darwinian about culling weak projects. The trick is killing weak projects without destroying people or knowledge in the process.
reflection advice
🔗
May 26, 2020
Zen Master: What is the sound of one hand clapping?

Zen Student: brrrr

Zen Master: Nooooo...you can't just answer a mu question. You have to satori enlightenmenterinoooo!

Zen Student: brrrr! brrrr! brrrrrrrrrrr!
joke
🔗
Jun 3, 2020
Failure debt: All the failures you’ve avoided, coming due in one big failure.
joke
🔗
Jun 6, 2020
Last 4 months since lockdown began have had the feel of an airport terminal waiting area post-security with a delayed flight that may be canceled. Can’t leave, nice environs, but limited options and uncomfortable seats. And can’t really relax till you’re on the plane taking off.
take
🔗
Jun 16, 2020
None of us has more than part of a partially correct answer to any complex question.

But if we sincerely and humbly work hard together, we can at least discover the whole of a completely wrong answer, and ride it to absolute disaster.
joke
🔗
Jun 21, 2020
Heisenwoke: when people can’t tell if you’re woke or antiwoke, and you exist in a state of complex superposition of being canceled and not-canceled at the same time.
joke
🔗
Jul 2, 2020
Expertise, good faith, influence

Pick 2 of 3
aphorism
🔗
Jul 4, 2020
Damn what a week. I did more than one thing per day on at least 3 days. How the hell do you guys do this all the time.
advice joke
🔗
Jul 5, 2020
Never trust anyone with a legible aesthetic
aphorism advice
🔗
Jul 7, 2020
90% of project management is simply accepting being the person who cares the most. Being too cool to visibly care is a minor liability for an individual contributor but a guaranteed project killer in a manager. Once the PM visibly doesn’t care, everyone else checks out.
advice reflection
🔗
Aug 22, 2020
Thought to close out the week: Never mistake access for intelligence. The smarter the environment, the more the two look alike.
aphorism reflection
🔗
Sep 7, 2020
Half of me has regressed to age 12 and the other half skipped ahead to age 80. Barbell aging strategy.
joke
🔗
Sep 12, 2020
so how are you de-elitifying yourself?
joke
🔗
Sep 28, 2020
I’ll never stop being amused by how individualism in America is the most collectivist larp ever
aphorism take
🔗
Oct 15, 2020
Laws of institutions

Law 0: They *will* emerge, even if nobody wants them

Law 1: They *will* get captured, regardless of values

Law 2: Once captured they *will* do bad things, even if they only contain good people

The only real question is how soon there are consequences
reflection
🔗
Oct 24, 2020
All knowledge eventually turns into a file format. All work eventually turns into file format translation work. 🤬
joke
🔗
Oct 24, 2020
I’m not idling, I’m cognitive crop rotating
joke
🔗
Oct 26, 2020
Serendipity is the only source of infinite game motivation. When you feel surprisingly lucky, you feel like continuing to play.
reflection
🔗
Oct 30, 2020
Increasingly convinced manifestos and codes of conduct are mostly for people who secretly want to avoid the grunt work of actually building organizations. They’re as bad as free-marketers. Thinking Values can do all the heavy lifting is the same as thinking Prices can do it all.
reflection
🔗
Oct 30, 2020
I only argue in darmok now
joke
🔗
Nov 11, 2020
Debate: a mechanism for classical liberals to converge on each other in the belief that they are converging on the truth.
joke
🔗
Nov 11, 2020
The paradox of exceptionalism. The more exceptional you believe your nation is, the more typical you make it by your behaviors. Exceptionalists are the most universal and predictable subspecies of nationalist.
reflection
🔗
Nov 14, 2020
the invention of emojis really expanded my emotional range considerably
joke reflection
🔗
Nov 20, 2020
If the biggest risk in your life is bureaucracy risk, you’re not taking enough risk.
aphorism reflection
🔗
Nov 21, 2020
Getting really tired of Age of Explainers. I’d like motivators instead. Essays explaining why something is worth understanding rather than how it works.

MLI5. Motivate like I’m 5. I’ll look up the explainer if you succeed in getting me to care at all.
reflection
🔗
Nov 29, 2020
goals are memories of the future
aphorism
🔗
Nov 30, 2020
Yet another day when the answer to the question of life, the universe, and everything turns out to be “you’re dehydrated, drink more water”
reflection advice
🔗
Dec 22, 2020
I’m not an artisan, I just suck at scaling. I mass produce one-offs.
joke
🔗
Dec 29, 2020
“It’s never over, you just let go”

good line from The Boys. Context irrelevant.
aphorism take

2021

🔗
Jan 7, 2021
What if this is the actual start of the simulation and everything before was just unit tests?
joke
🔗
Jan 9, 2021
Of course you have to make up the rules as you go along 🙄

The other way is called religion
joke
🔗
Jan 10, 2021
“Everybody leaves behind unfinished business, that’s what dying is.” — Amos on The Expanse
aphorism take
🔗
Jan 27, 2021
Life is a comedy to those who think, and a tragic font choice for those who feel

Face it feelers, the universe is written in Comic Sans
aphorism joke
🔗
Jan 30, 2021
I can never tell civility apart from passive aggression. This is why I never join any forum that makes a virtue out of civility.
aphorism reflection
🔗
Feb 1, 2021
the basic question of life is how hard you want to work at it

once you answer that honestly everything else follows trivially

good to re-ask periodically or when you feel your energy level shift
advice
🔗
Feb 6, 2021
Once more in that bad mood caused by looking up at the sky and realizing I’m never getting off this damn planet.
aphorism reflection
🔗
Feb 21, 2021
Sitting is not the new smoking. It’s a lousy analogy. We’re designed for it. 8 hours is probably bad, but the optimal amount is not 0.

We like it too much and will never stop. Even animals sit around a lot. Ape troops for eg. If sitting is smoking my cat is a chain smoker.
reflection take
🔗
Feb 26, 2021
You can’t truly get interested in the world till you lose interest in money
aphorism advice reflection
🔗
Mar 1, 2021
The thing about staying above the API is that the API level keeps going up
joke
🔗
Mar 7, 2021
Learning the art of not being managed is a prerequisite for learning the art of not being governed
reflection
🔗
Apr 10, 2021
Kinda amazing that biology works without measurement. There’s no “what size bolt does a baby need?” or “do you want a metric or imperial banana.” No SAE or IEEE standards committees.
reflection
🔗
May 18, 2021
"Are you enjoying yourself?"

"Are you enjoying your self?"

Adding a space can turn a superficial question into a profound one 🤔
reflection
🔗
May 29, 2021
The more energy you can generate the less philosophy you need
aphorism
🔗
Aug 28, 2021
Weird how The Simpsons has vanished from the zeitgeist without a trace. Even the good seasons.
take
🔗
Sep 11, 2021
Things not open enough to enjoy the world, things not closed enough to enjoy home

Pandemic is now in annoying purgatory stage
take
🔗
Sep 15, 2021
geodysphoria: unhappiness living wherever you are and wanting to move and settle somewhere else indeterminate
reflection
🔗
Sep 26, 2021
In the biggest economic races, money is how you figure out who won second and third place.

First place usually goes to the player who redefines the meaning of money.

Fourth place onwards is people who console themselves that they’re working for “human values.”
reflection
🔗
Sep 30, 2021
I rarely think “TMI” but often think “TMP” — Too Much Production. People overproducing their oversharing like it’s a summer blockbuster 🧐

TMI can be charming and endearing even when cringe. TMP never is. At least not on Twitter. Maybe it works on Instagram or tiktok.
reflection
🔗
Oct 3, 2021
Covid has led me to a new definition of religion.

Religion the belief that the universe is nice to good people.

“God” is an optional extra.
reflection
🔗
Oct 4, 2021
Emerson: “The mind, once stretched by a new idea, never returns to its original dimensions.”

Is the inverse true or false?

A mind once contracted by a major crisis,* never returns to its original dimensions.

* ‘crisis’ seems like natural inverse, as in crisis of faith/meaning
reflection
🔗
Oct 5, 2021
Open source is apparently when everybody wants to do the project but nobody wants to do project management and you figure out ways to get by without it
reflection take
🔗
Oct 20, 2021
Automation is the art of replacing one person doing a full-time job with a thousand people doing 5-minute software admin tasks every few months (6 minutes if you forgot your password).
take
🔗
Oct 27, 2021
can't believe I can shitpost all day and nobody can stop me

if I'd tried this before the internet on a street corner, they'd have had me taken away
reflection
🔗
Nov 18, 2021
Wise person once told me: you’re always going to piss off some group if you try to do anything at all, and the trick is to piss off the right people.

I have since modified to: piss off a unique set of people. If your hater list matches another person’s too much it’s just a tribe
advice
🔗
Nov 19, 2021
Meaning is memorability.

Dunno why it took me so long to see this.
aphorism reflection
🔗
Dec 1, 2021
The main task of postmodern social system design is enabling people to avoid each other in fine-grained ways. “Connecting people” is the clever false-flag name for this. People seeking connection will usually find a way. It’s the right degree of avoidance that’s hard to arrange.
take
🔗
Dec 21, 2021
unnecessary hard work is the root of all evil
aphorism
🔗
Dec 22, 2021
If you suddenly pick up a cat and put it down somewhere else in a different orientation, they kinda just go with it. No apparent surprise or being upset at interruption of whatever they were up to. Just start doing new thing. Instantaneous transients. Zero inertia OODA loops. 🤔
reflection

2022

🔗
Feb 4, 2022
If you promise obviously utopian outcomes don’t complain if critics evaluate you against absolutely idealistic standards
take
🔗
Feb 6, 2022
We need some lovecraftian cosmic horror. Not the actual thing or even an updated pastiche of it, but an equivalent memeplex that does for the 2020s what his cosmic horror world did for the 1920s. We are so busy being outraged, we have no time to be properly horrified.
take
🔗
Mar 5, 2022
Just found myself using the phrase “fog of vibes”
take
🔗
Mar 23, 2022
My biggest disagree-but-commit position is that the AGI people are deeply and entirely wrong at the foundations about every philosophical question but will still invent the next era of computing. Like the alchemists seeking the philosopher’s stone invented chemistry. <a href="https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1505754945860956160">twitter.com/ilyasut/status…</a>
take
🔗
Apr 18, 2022
My energized projects are not well-defined and my well-defined projects are nor energized 🤬
joke
🔗
May 14, 2022
Weird there’s no proper measure of how lucky someone is, relative to expectations based on birth circumstances (genes, family situation, etc). I think I’m about +1 sigma luckier relative to mean of my birth bell curve
reflection
🔗
Jun 9, 2022
Negative-sum games seem insufficiently theorized. Zero-sum games are way overtheorized given how rare they are irl.
reflection
🔗
Jun 12, 2022
Lately I find when I’m stuck, trying out a different base emotion is often more effective in getting unstuck than trying to reframe from a different perspective intellectually
reflection
🔗
Jun 13, 2022
The correct antonym of “strategic” is “exhaustive” not “tactical”
aphorism advice reflection
🔗
Jun 25, 2022
Your life flashing before your eyes is really the simulators retrieving the log file for analysis
joke
🔗
Jun 30, 2022
We’re now in inverse hanlon’s razor territory. Never attribute to incompetence what can safely be attributed to malice.
aphorism take
🔗
Jul 7, 2022
Marie Kondo “does it spark joy” but for process rather than things 🤔
reflection
🔗
Jul 23, 2022
The difference between past and future is that the past doesn’t go away when you stop believing in it
reflection
🔗
Jul 23, 2022
If you have fuzzy talents you get fuzzy rewards

If you have hard-edged talents, you get hard-edged rewards

This is the talent-reward fuzziness impedance match theorem
aphorism
🔗
Aug 5, 2022
Napping is like turning yourself off and on again to fix some annoying glitch in your thinking you don’t want to actually troubleshoot. Works 90% of the time. Everything should be rebooted often.
joke reflection
🔗
Sep 1, 2022
Most tv shows fail the “would you watch this if the people were less pretty” test 🤔
take
🔗
Sep 12, 2022
It's really dangerous when humans stop pretending they know what they're doing en masse. At least 20% have to pretend or the whole system falls apart. That's the real danger of quiet quitting. It's not the slacking, it's the admission of incomprehension.
reflection
🔗
Sep 29, 2022
Fear of “loss of face” rules the world.

There’s a weird American presumption that it is an Asian psychodynamic. Asians are just more willing to cop to it and talk about it openly.
take
🔗
Oct 20, 2022
The arc of the moral universe is basically a random walk.

Occasionally a tech advance makes it slightly easier to be nice and slightly more pointless to be nasty. We then congratulate ourselves for having “evolved.”
reflection
🔗
Oct 25, 2022
People who supposedly live “fuller lives” mostly seem to have lives more full of chores 🧐

It’s a scam
joke
🔗
Oct 30, 2022
Product idea: AI dreamcatcher. You wake up in the morning and immediately describe your dream before you forget and it generates it.
idea
🔗
Nov 5, 2022
Designate twitter a digital national park
take
🔗
Nov 9, 2022
The “panic now, it’s all melting down” tribe and “lol nothing’s happening, chill” tribes are in a mutual gaslighting equilibrium

Me, I’m above these simplistic either/or things, I’m in a complex superposition of chilling and panicking.
joke
🔗
Nov 10, 2022
To become properly evil you must start by installing the belief “I am good” at the foundation of everything else.
aphorism
🔗
Nov 17, 2022
I think the high-gravitas people are going to survive this much better than the shitposters

The air is being sucked out of the rooms mainly from in the lower shitposter floors.
reflection take

Chapter Statistics

Range 2007–2022
Tweets 396 included · 39 featured
By tag reflection: 194 joke: 101 take: 80 aphorism: 51 advice: 46 prehistory: 10 idea: 5 ascii: 2 unclassified: 1
By year 2007: 10 · 2014: 5 · 2015: 11 · 2016: 10 · 2017: 31 · 2018: 150 · 2019: 73 · 2020: 46 · 2021: 34 · 2022: 26
Ch. −
ToCCh. +